A New Model for Estimating the Diffuse Fraction of Solar Irradiance for Photovoltaic System Simulations
AbstractWe present a new model for the calculation of the diffuse fraction of the global solar irradiance for solar system simulations. The importance of an accurate estimation of the horizontal diffuse irradiance is highlighted by findings that an inaccurately calculated diffuse irradiance can lead to significant over- or underestimations in the annual energy yield of a photovoltaic (PV) system by as much as 8%. Our model utilizes a time series of global irradiance in one-minute resolution and geographical information as input. The model is validated by measurement data of 28 geographically and climatologically diverse locations worldwide with one year of one-minute data each, taken from the Baseline Surface Radiation Network (BSRN). We show that on average the mean absolute deviation of the modelled and the measured diffuse irradiance is reduced from about 12% to about 6% compared to three reference models. The maximum deviation is less than 20%. In more than 80% of the test cases, the deviation is smaller 10%. The root mean squared error (RMSE) of the calculated diffuse fractions is reduced by about 18%. View Full-Text
Scifeed alert for new publicationsNever miss any articles matching your research from any publisher
- Get alerts for new papers matching your research
- Find out the new papers from selected authors
- Updated daily for 49'000+ journals and 6000+ publishers
- Define your Scifeed now
Hofmann, M.; Seckmeyer, G. A New Model for Estimating the Diffuse Fraction of Solar Irradiance for Photovoltaic System Simulations. Energies 2017, 10, 248.
Hofmann M, Seckmeyer G. A New Model for Estimating the Diffuse Fraction of Solar Irradiance for Photovoltaic System Simulations. Energies. 2017; 10(2):248.Chicago/Turabian Style
Hofmann, Martin; Seckmeyer, Gunther. 2017. "A New Model for Estimating the Diffuse Fraction of Solar Irradiance for Photovoltaic System Simulations." Energies 10, no. 2: 248.
Note that from the first issue of 2016, MDPI journals use article numbers instead of page numbers. See further details here.