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Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2012, 9(8), 2986-3001; doi:10.3390/ijerph9082986

Simulation of Regionally Ecological Land Based on a Cellular Automation Model: A Case Study of Beijing, China

Institute of Poyang Lake Eco-economics, Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics, Nanchang 330013, China
Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Received: 12 July 2012 / Revised: 21 July 2012 / Accepted: 8 August 2012 / Published: 17 August 2012
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Ecological land is like the “liver” of a city and is very useful to public health. Ecological land change is a spatially dynamic non-linear process under the interaction between natural and anthropogenic factors at different scales. In this study, by setting up natural development scenario, object orientation scenario and ecosystem priority scenario, a Cellular Automation (CA) model has been established to simulate the evolution pattern of ecological land in Beijing in the year 2020. Under the natural development scenario, most of ecological land will be replaced by construction land and crop land. But under the scenarios of object orientation and ecosystem priority, the ecological land area will increase, especially under the scenario of ecosystem priority. When considering the factors such as total area of ecological land, loss of key ecological land and spatial patterns of land use, the scenarios from priority to inferiority are ecosystem priority, object orientation and natural development, so future land management policies in Beijing should be focused on conversion of cropland to forest, wetland protection and prohibition of exploitation of natural protection zones, water source areas and forest parks to maintain the safety of the regional ecosystem. View Full-Text
Keywords: ecological land; land use; cellular automation model; ecosystem management ecological land; land use; cellular automation model; ecosystem management

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Xie, H.; Kung, C.-C.; Zhang, Y.; Li, X. Simulation of Regionally Ecological Land Based on a Cellular Automation Model: A Case Study of Beijing, China. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2012, 9, 2986-3001.

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